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High returns and
quick capital payback highlight the economic strength of the Project. Low site
operating costs throughout the projected mine life result in Bisha being
particularly robust and the strengthening of the US dollar will also improve the
economics further regarding both capital and operating costs.
Due to the volatility in metals prices over recent weeks, management presents
below a low metals prices projection(2):
Highlights of the Project:
Metal Production (Life of
Mine) - 1.06 million oz gold
(all
payable) - 749 million lb copper
- 1,093 million lb zinc
- 9.4 million oz silver
Production Schedule - +10 years open pit mine modeled
at 2 Mt/year of ore production
- years 1 and 2, average
431,000 oz Au and 702,000 oz Ag per year
- years 3 to 5 average
approximately 170 million lb Cu per year plus precious metal credits
- years 6 to 10 average
approximately 220 million lb Zn plus 40 million lb Cu per year plus precious
metal credits
CAPEX - pre-production capex
approximately $250 million
- expansion capital (funded
by operations) $115 million
Operating Cost - life of mine approximately
$33/tonne of ore milled, excluding royalties
Note: CAPEX and Operating Cost are updated to June 2008 and continue to be
good estimates. CAPEX includes a contingency of $32 million. In addition, the
recent strengthening of the US dollar has resulted in a forecast improvement in
CAPEX, particularly in respect to the costs associated with South African and
European supply. Approximately 20% of CAPEX has been either spent or ordered so
as to fix pricing. The significant orders include major equipment and steel,
including long lead order items such as the SAG and ball mills.
The SENET engineering design incorporates some positive design changes compared
with the Feasibility Study. The tailings storage area has been relocated to a
more favourable terrain and an additional plastic lining has been added to the
design. The gold process plant has been redesigned from a carousel CIP to a
standard CIL circuit.
Financial scenarios and sensitivity review
(all after tax):
1. Recent metals prices scenario:
Metal prices
- Au $700/oz, Cu $1.80/lb, Zn $0.50/lb, Ag
$10/oz
Rate of
Return
- 50.6%
Cumulative cash flow
- $ 619 million
NPV (10% discount)
- $ 304 million
Payback
- 1.4 years (pre-production capital
payback)
2. Lower metals prices scenario (more
conservative):
Metal prices
- Au $600/oz, Cu $1.50/lb, Zn $0.50/lb, Ag
$8/oz
Rate of
Return
- 42%
Cumulative cash flow
- $ 440 million
NPV (10% discount)
- $ 250 million
Payback
- 1.6 years (pre-production capital
payback)
The Company effectively has a 90% interest
in the net present value (NPV) of the
project, 30% of which will be received
shortly after the start of production (less
the $25m prepayment received in January
2008).
Summary of Production
|
Years
|
-2 & -1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|
|
Project phase: |
Construction |
Oxide |
Supergene |
Primary |
|
|
Oxide Processing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gold-Thousand
ounces |
|
418 |
443 |
39
|
See
note below |
|
|
Silver
- Thousand ounces |
|
517 |
887 |
132 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sulphide Processing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Copper-
millions of pounds |
|
|
|
154 |
169 |
181 |
73 |
40 |
40 |
43 |
49
|
|
Zinc-
million of pounds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
153 |
238 |
227 |
217 |
258 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Years
|
-2 & -1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In October 2007 the Government of Eritrea
indicated its strong support for the Bisha Project and for the
development of a new and strong mining sector in Eritrea through its
purchase of a 30% paid participating interest through the Eritrean
National Mining Company (ENAMCO). For details of the Bisha Mining
Share Company (“BMSC”) shareholder agreement please refer to the
company's press release dated October 29th, 2007. The shareholder
structure of BMSC is 60% Nevsun and 40% ENAMCO; with the
ENAMCO shareholding comprising a 30% paid participating interest and
a 10% free participating interest as provided by the country’s
mining legislation. In December 2007 Nevsun's Eritrean venture
company, BMSC, concluded a mining agreement with the Government of
the State of Eritrea. The mining agreement contains all of the
normal provisions governing the future development and operations
for the Bisha Project, including all substantive requirements of
international financial institutions.
On behalf of the Government of Eritrea,
Minister Tesfai Ghebreselassie has stated that “The success of the
Bisha Mining Project has a special significance both for its
economic benefits and trendsetting effects on the path of the
industry we are very eager to develop in Eritrea. Therefore I would
like to reiterate our Government’s commitment to do all within its
means to assist Bisha Mining Share Company be a success story.” Both
Nevsun and ENAMCO can now focus their attention to jointly financing
the development of the Bisha Mine.
Please refer to Investor Relations/News
Releases for up-to-date Bisha news.
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